Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.054612 0.062139 0.069838 0.078268 0.087212 0.096388 0.106488
2025-10-05 0.046760 0.058269 0.070564 0.084544 0.099873 0.116061 0.134343
2025-10-12 0.037653 0.051130 0.066113 0.083698 0.103502 0.124880 0.149482
2025-10-19 0.032276 0.047255 0.064476 0.085211 0.109040 0.135182 0.165673
2025-10-26 0.027437 0.043349 0.062253 0.085560 0.112835 0.143182 0.178981
2025-11-02 0.023979 0.040693 0.061154 0.086903 0.117500 0.151934 0.192928
2025-11-09 0.020505 0.037612 0.059226 0.086995 0.120487 0.158594 0.204348
2025-11-16 0.016420 0.033242 0.055331 0.084399 0.120049 0.161100 0.210846
2025-11-23 0.013038 0.029422 0.051826 0.082024 0.119660 0.163489 0.217053
2025-11-30 0.011364 0.027900 0.051205 0.083156 0.123421 0.170668 0.228736
2025-12-07 0.010074 0.026807 0.051059 0.084814 0.127764 0.178489 0.241129
2025-12-14 0.009302 0.026455 0.051879 0.087681 0.133567 0.188027 0.255516
2025-12-21 0.007895 0.024949 0.051104 0.088575 0.137109 0.195111 0.267352
2025-12-28 0.008208 0.026526 0.054822 0.095500 0.148300 0.211487 0.290262
2026-01-04 0.006530 0.024237 0.052770 0.094620 0.149592 0.215885 0.298987
2026-01-11 0.005641 0.023286 0.052614 0.096237 0.154003 0.224027 0.312126
2026-01-18 0.004607 0.021842 0.051602 0.096609 0.156771 0.230132 0.322812
2026-01-25 0.003904 0.020962 0.051393 0.098042 0.160869 0.237837 0.335391
2026-02-01 0.003073 0.019575 0.050280 0.098140 0.163186 0.243320 0.345277
2026-02-08 0.001991 0.017127 0.047243 0.095370 0.161650 0.243956 0.349248
2026-02-15 0.001185 0.014956 0.044465 0.092835 0.160321 0.244774 0.353376
2026-02-22 0.000890 0.014311 0.044275 0.094044 0.163940 0.251747 0.364953
2026-03-01 0.000686 0.013904 0.044477 0.095814 0.168298 0.259640 0.377646